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What Does a Decline in Housing Starts Mean for Calgary’s Market?

Calgary Housing Starts – March 2025 Update

Calgary’s housing market is showing signs of a slowdown in new residential construction. Recent data indicates that housing starts dropped from 2,548 last month to 1,717—a decline of 32.61%. But what does this mean for buyers, sellers, and the overall market? Let’s break it down.


Understanding Housing Starts

Housing starts refer to the number of new residential construction projects that have begun within a given period. This metric is a crucial indicator of economic health and future housing supply. A decline often reflects changes in builder confidence, market demand, or broader economic conditions.


Why Are Housing Starts Down?

Higher Interest Rates

Rising borrowing costs have made financing new construction more expensive for builders and buyers.


Market Uncertainty

Builders may be slowing down due to concerns over economic conditions or potential oversupply.


Seasonal Factors

Colder months usually reduce construction activity, but a 30%+ decline suggests deeper causes.


Rising Costs

Supply chain disruptions and higher material costs make new projects less attractive.


Implications for Buyers and Sellers

For Buyers

Less new construction could limit future options, driving up prices if demand stays strong.


For Sellers

Fewer new homes may make existing homes more desirable, boosting resale values.


For Investors

A slowdown in new builds could increase rental demand, improving rental market opportunities.


What to Watch Moving Forward

Building Permit Trends

Declining permits may indicate builders remain cautious.


Resale Market Activity

Slower new construction could make resale homes more competitive.


Interest Rate Changes

Future Bank of Canada rate cuts might reinvigorate new construction.


Final Thoughts

While a 32.61% drop in housing starts is significant, it’s essential to consider the broader economic picture. Whether this slowdown is temporary or a longer-term trend will depend on shifts in interest rates, builder confidence, and market demand.


Work with Greater Calgary Real Estate

For more insights or to discuss how market trends could impact your plans, contact Greater Calgary Real Estate today. Our team is ready to help you navigate the changing landscape.

Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.